Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 8.981976 10.320585 11.749154 13.382607 15.193913 17.136169 19.371509
2025-02-16 6.510618 8.235917 10.216464 12.639711 15.505117 18.765527 22.734914
2025-02-23 4.800470 6.665111 8.959136 11.946236 15.686624 20.167227 25.887436
2025-03-02 3.677146 5.583728 8.087809 11.539727 16.088396 21.786170 29.359872
2025-03-09 2.948471 4.871583 7.554917 11.448759 16.814862 23.799595 33.405403
2025-03-16 2.353457 4.228222 7.003006 11.230721 17.304405 25.491387 37.099196
2025-03-23 2.078290 4.009535 7.012431 11.773668 18.845635 28.644451 42.870725
2025-03-30 1.759561 3.657641 6.762949 11.888659 19.757867 30.958877 47.597411
2025-04-06 1.398466 3.159526 6.205977 11.456335 19.802597 32.019377 50.597908
2025-04-13 1.096099 2.701601 5.642486 10.934942 19.641315 32.735054 53.099923
2025-04-20 0.986650 2.595485 5.669154 11.375802 20.994547 35.737599 59.028167
2025-04-27 0.948484 2.628880 5.948015 12.262101 23.105949 39.969398 66.926636
2025-05-04 0.865821 2.555913 6.029335 12.828335 24.761765 43.631887 74.207715
2025-05-11 0.736813 2.349150 5.824661 12.861253 25.529099 45.950326 79.556487
2025-05-18 0.600545 2.089692 5.474965 12.586504 25.744178 47.395200 83.613840
2025-05-25 0.495130 1.879535 5.194207 12.407476 26.101596 49.070714 88.080516
2025-06-01 0.422416 1.737900 5.039235 12.452765 26.849181 51.401549 93.648932
2025-06-08 0.349207 1.571470 4.800535 12.300277 27.217194 53.105172 98.261176
2025-06-15 0.327849 1.563220 4.934971 12.932671 29.077182 57.396972 107.206150
2025-06-22 0.285331 1.470709 4.848718 13.084796 30.032181 60.172159 113.748299
2025-06-29 0.224348 1.288269 4.502942 12.633419 29.790620 60.856038 116.841629
2025-07-06 0.171310 1.109761 4.131502 12.077882 29.295563 61.056038 119.110248
2025-07-13 0.158333 1.093767 4.207316 12.560462 30.903565 65.058223 127.932243